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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Leeds logo

Ipswich
3 - 4
Leeds

Rodon (7' og.), Broadhead (45+7'), Chaplin (90+7')
Morsy (45+5'), Luongo (56'), Woolfenden (87')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rutter (10'), Gnonto (14'), Piroe (19'), Sinisterra (75')
Shackleton (52'), Meslier (59'), Ayling (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Leeds United

It is hard to look past this Ipswich Town side at present, particularly on home turf, given the momentum they hold under Kieran McKenna, and while Leeds do still possess plenty of quality and will travel desperate for a result, we back the Tractor Boys to make it four wins on the bounce on their return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 58.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
58.85% (1.485 1.49) 21.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.97% (-1.467 -1.47)
Both teams to score 57.77% (-2.318 -2.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (-1.966 -1.97)39.68% (1.962 1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (-2.074 -2.07)62.03% (2.069 2.07)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.79% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)13.2% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)39.93% (0.393 0.39)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-2.515 -2.52)33.44% (2.511 2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-2.852 -2.85)70.07% (2.848 2.85)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 58.85%
    Leeds United 19.97%
    Draw 21.18%
Ipswich TownDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.093 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.681 0.68)
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.733 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.419 0.42)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.191 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 58.85%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.391 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.18%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.287 -0.29)
0-1 @ 4.84% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Leeds

Ipswich Town
64.7%
Draw
13.7%
Leeds United
21.6%
51
Head to Head
May 5, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Ipswich
3-2
Leeds
Downes (30'), Dozzell (47'), Quaner (90')
Jackson (75'), Nsiala (84')
Chambers (79')
Klich (45'), Dallas (76')
Casilla (28')
Oct 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Leeds
2-0
Ipswich
Roofe (22'), Cooper (66')
Berardi (15')

Nolan (5'), Downes (31'), Knudsen (50')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Ipswich
1-0
Leeds
Celina (67')
Connolly (55'), Iorfa (60')

Jansson (80'), Phillips (87')
O'Kane (37')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Leeds
3-2
Ipswich
Lasogga (13'), Phillips (32'), Bialkowski (67' og.)
Cooper (72')
McGoldrick (30'), Garner (71')
Spence (3'), Knudsen (37')
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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