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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Southampton logo

Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton


Wallace (55'), Longman (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Southampton

 While Millwall are capable of upsetting the odds against any second-tier opponent at home, Southampton are clear favourites for this contest. As well as dominating the ball, we expect the visitors to win with relative ease to keep the pressure on the teams in the playoff spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawSouthampton
37.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 36.58% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 55.69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.31% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.98% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)25.02% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)59.69% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.012 -0.01)25.72% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)60.65% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 37.84%
    Southampton 36.58%
    Draw 25.57%
MillwallDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.58%

How you voted: Millwall vs Southampton

Millwall
7.1%
Draw
21.4%
Southampton
71.4%
28
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2014 7.45pm
Round Two
Millwall
0-2
Southampton

Briggs (36')
Cork (52'), Pelle (93')
Pelle (84'), Targett (89')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Millwall
2-3
Southampton
Robinson (28')
Kane (88'), Henry (89')
Lambert (16', 85', 88')
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2011 3pm
Southampton
1-0
Millwall
Henderson (57'), Henry (66'), Robinson (77')
Jan 16, 2010 3pm
Millwall
1-1
Southampton
Trotter (90')
Robinson (11')
Lambert (90')
Seaborne (72'), Fonte (79')
Aug 8, 2009 3pm
Southampton
1-1
Millwall
Paterson (51')
Abdou (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522
> Championship Full Table


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