MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 05:37:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Southampton logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Southampton


Hoever (44'), Pearson (45'), Johnson (86'), Leris (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (41')
Downes (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Stoke
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Southampton

Despite both bouncing back from adversity with wins at the weekend, the two could cancel each other out here in a clash that is tough to call on paper. Southampton have also not enjoyed much success against Stoke recently, winning just one of their last seven meetings, and that run could well be extended here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
41.53% (-1.672 -1.67) 24.79% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 33.67% (1.587 1.59)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (0.094999999999999 0.09)45.19% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (0.090000000000003 0.09)67.53% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24% (-0.738 -0.74)21.76% (0.739 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05% (-1.137 -1.14)54.95% (1.139 1.14)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (1.02 1.02)25.94% (-1.019 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (1.354 1.35)60.94% (-1.354 -1.35)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.53%
    Southampton 33.67%
    Draw 24.79%
Stoke CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-0 @ 8.61% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.84% (0.243 0.24)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.27 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.53% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.67%

How you voted: Stoke vs Southampton

Stoke City
Draw
Southampton
Stoke City
51.4%
Draw
28.6%
Southampton
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Stoke
2-1
Southampton
Biram Diouf (40'), Crouch (85')
Allen (30')
Yoshida (76')
Tadic (52'), Romeu (57')
May 21, 2017 3pm
Southampton
0-1
Stoke

Boufal (70'), Stephens (90')
Crouch (60')
Allen (53'), Whelan (63'), Sobhi (67'), Shaqiri (90')
Dec 14, 2016 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Burnley382115252114178
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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