Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke0 - 1Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Stoke
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Leeds
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Stoke City 1-1 Southampton
Despite both bouncing back from adversity with wins at the weekend, the two could cancel each other out here in a clash that is tough to call on paper. Southampton have also not enjoyed much success against Stoke recently, winning just one of their last seven meetings, and that run could well be extended here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Southampton |
41.53% ( -1.67) | 24.79% ( 0.09) | 33.67% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 57.94% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( 0.09) | 45.19% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( 0.09) | 67.53% ( -0.09) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.24% ( -0.74) | 21.76% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.05% ( -1.14) | 54.95% ( 1.14) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( 1.02) | 25.94% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.06% ( 1.35) | 60.94% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 41.53%
Southampton 33.67%
Draw 24.79%
| Stoke City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.67% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Southampton
Stoke City
51.4%Draw
28.6%Southampton
20.0%35
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
Southampton
0-0
Stoke
Cameron (41')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Dec 14, 2016 8pm
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Form Guide
