MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 05:31:30| >> :120:15569:15569:
Bournemouth logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Stoke logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Stoke

Solanke (51'), Rothwell (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (67'), Wilmot (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 3-0 Stoke City

With injuries piling up and other players unable to take the field on Wednesday for administrative reasons, this third-round tie has all the makings of a miserable evening for the Potters. An injection of confidence would do Bournemouth the world of good right now, and we expect the Cherries to get it during a resounding success on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawStoke City
23.77% (-0.926 -0.93) 22.87% (-0.153 -0.15) 53.36% (1.073 1.07)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.251 -0.25)42.72% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.249 -0.25)65.12% (0.244 0.24)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)31.68% (0.898 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (-1.051 -1.05)68.1% (1.046 1.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (0.283 0.28)16% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (0.522 0.52)45.32% (-0.526 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 23.77%
    Stoke City 53.36%
    Draw 22.87%
BournemouthDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 23.77%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.256 0.26)
1-3 @ 5.98% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.38% (0.117 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.36%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Stoke

Bournemouth
Draw
Stoke City
Bournemouth
77.6%
Draw
16.3%
Stoke City
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke
Solanke (83'), Lowe (89')
Mepham (40'), Lowe (43'), Cook (72'), Kelly (82')
Smith (20')
Smith (25'), Brown (39'), Thompson (57')
Fox (32')
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
0-1
Bournemouth
Solanke (51')
Kilkenny (3'), Zemura (59')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bournemouth
0-2
Stoke

Cook (6'), Billing (61')
Forrester (36'), Smith (52')
Batth (47')
Jan 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-1
Bournemouth

Thompson (57'), Chester (58'), McClean (73'), Souttar (90+4')
Stanislas (79')
Lerma (90+2')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke
King (70'), Mousset (79')
Gosling (58'), King (59')
Shaqiri (5')
Ndiaye (38'), Shaqiri (45'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (69')
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth29128948361244
10Fulham2811984138342
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Everton2971393236-434
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2923242170-499


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