MX23RW : Sunday, March 16 20:11:21| >> :60:791:791:
Swansea logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Swansea
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Bournemouth

Bournemouth have a stronger squad than Swansea, and we are expecting the Premier League outfit to book their spot in the third round of the competition. The Cherries have enjoyed their recent matches against Swansea, and we are backing that to continue in Tuesday's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
56.05% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.05%
    Bournemouth 21.83%
    Draw 22.12%
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bournemouth

Swansea City
Draw
Bournemouth
Swansea City
21.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bournemouth
64.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Swansea
3-3
Bournemouth
Piroe (6', 12'), Christie (58')
Christie (45+4'), Smith (53')
Moore (72', 90'), Solanke (81' pen.)
Lowe (30'), Anthony (56'), Phillips (67'), Billing (75'), Lerma (84'), Solanke (90+6')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-0
Swansea
Solanke (25', 49'), Anthony (64', 90+3')
Billing (29'), Solanke (40')

Downes (30'), Bennett (39'), Ntcham (53')
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Bournemouth
3-0
Swansea
Billing (9'), Latibeaudiere (45+1' og.), Danjuma (87')
Rico (58')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
0-0
Bournemouth
Smith (10')
Solanke (30'), Rico (57'), Billing (73')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
1-0
Swansea
Fraser (37')
King (51')

Olsson (36'), van der Hoorn (58'), Mawson (69'), King (82')
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
14Everton2971393236-434
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
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20Southampton2923242170-499


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