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Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Swansea
3 - 3
Bournemouth

Piroe (6', 12'), Christie (58')
Christie (45+4'), Smith (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moore (72', 90'), Solanke (81' pen.)
Lowe (30'), Anthony (56'), Phillips (67'), Billing (75'), Lerma (84'), Solanke (90+6')

Preview: Swansea City vs. Bournemouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth will be looking to move a step closer to securing promotion from the Championship when they travel to Wales on Tuesday night to take on Swansea City.

The Cherries are currently second in the table, two points clear of third-placed Huddersfield Town, while Swansea sit 14th, nine points behind sixth-placed Sheffield United.


Match preview

Swansea City manager Russell Martin celebrates after the match on February 28, 2022© Reuters

Swansea stretched their unbeaten run in the Championship to eight matches on Saturday when they drew 1-1 with Middlesbrough, Michael Obafemi netting early in the second period to secure a point for the Welsh outfit after Riley McGree had made the breakthrough.

The Swans have now drawn their last three in England's second tier against Barnsley, Reading and Middlesbrough, and a total of 60 points from 43 matches has left them in 14th spot in the table, nine points behind sixth-placed Sheffield United with three games left.

At this moment, Swansea can still mathematically qualify for the playoffs, but only an incredible set of circumstances will see that happen, so the Welsh outfit are set for another season of Championship football.

Russell Martin's side have struggled to show consistency on home soil this season, picking up 34 points from 21 matches, and they will be welcoming a Bournemouth side that have the second-best away record in the Championship this term, collecting 38 points from 21 matches.

Swansea have not actually beaten Bournemouth in any competition since October 2007 in League One, and they suffered a 4-0 defeat in the reverse match to the Cherries back in November.

Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 15, 2022© Reuters

Bournemouth, meanwhile, kept the Championship title race alive on Saturday courtesy of a 1-1 draw at Fulham, with Dominic Solanke netting from the penalty spot in the 98th minute of the contest.

Scott Parker's side are currently second in the table, nine points behind leaders Fulham with a game in hand, while they are two points ahead of third-placed Huddersfield Town with two games in hand.

Bournemouth are in a strong position to finish second in the table, and they will be bidding to take another huge step towards a Premier League return with a victory on Tuesday night.

Parker's team have actually only won one of their last four in the league, though, drawing back-to-back matches against Sheffield United and Middlesbrough before winning 3-0 at Coventry City, with the success coming five days before the draw with Fulham at the weekend.

The Cherries will take on Swansea, Blackburn Rovers, Nottingham Forest and Millwall in their final four Championship matches of the campaign, and they are bidding to return to the top flight at the second time of asking, having lost to Brentford in last season's playoff semi-finals.

Swansea City Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D



Team News

Swansea City's Michael Obafemi celebrates scoring their first goal on February 13, 2022© Reuters

Swansea's squad is in strong shape ahead of the clash with Bournemouth, with Jamie Paterson, who missed out against Middlesbrough, their only injury doubt for Tuesday's contest.

Ryan Manning came into the side at the weekend and is expected to retain his spot, with Hannes Wolf again potentially featuring in a forward area for the Welsh outfit.

Joel Latibeaudiere should feature in a back three for the home side, with Obafemi, who has scored 11 Championship goals this season, leading the line against Parker's side.

As for Bournemouth, Morgan Rogers, Jordan Zemura, Leif Davis, Kieffer Moore, Junior Stanislas and David Brooks will again be unavailable for selection.

Philip Billing replaced Jamal Lowe in the starting side against Fulham, but the two players could swap for this match, with the latter starting alongside Solanke in the final third of the field.

Todd Cantwell and Siriki Dembele are options to feature in a forward area, but Ryan Christie and Jaidon Anthony should retain their spots in the starting XI, with Solanke, who has netted 27 times in the second tier this season, leading the line.

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Fisher; Cabango, Naughton, Latibeaudiere; C Christie, Grimes, Downes, Manning; Piroe, Obafemi, Wolf

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Laird, Phillips, Kelly, Smith; R Christie, Cook, Lerma, Anthony; Solanke, Lowe


SM words green background

We say: Swansea City 1-1 Bournemouth

Swansea are unbeaten in the Championship since March 12, so they will be difficult opposition for Bournemouth on Tuesday evening. The Cherries are undoubtedly one of the best teams in the division and will be looking to secure promotion as soon as possible, but they might have to settle for a point here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:484158:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10486:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Swansea vs Bournemouth

Swansea City
18.1%
Draw
21.3%
Bournemouth
60.6%
160
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