MX23RW : Monday, January 20 17:57:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Ipswich logo

Southampton
0 - 1
Ipswich


Harwood-Bellis (59'), Adams (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hutchinson (30')
Williams (38'), Taylor (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Ipswich Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Leicester
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in Championship

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 1-2 Ipswich Town

 It may have been nearly 16 years since Ipswich last got the better of Southampton in a competitive fixture, but Russell cannot fix the Saints' horrendous defensive play overnight, and such frailties should prove fatal once again. Ipswich are hardly consistent at the back themselves, but McKenna's in-form troops have conceded just one goal on the road so far and were unlucky not to put Wednesday to the sword by more goals at the weekend, so another Tractor Boys success is the only outcome we can envisage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
20.29% (-2.613 -2.61) 21.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 57.98% (2.521 2.52)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-4.262 -4.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25% (-3.835 -3.84)41.75% (3.837 3.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85% (-3.982 -3.98)64.15% (3.984 3.98)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-4.557 -4.56)34.32% (4.56 4.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (-5.194 -5.19)71.02% (5.195 5.2)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.86% (-0.496 -0.5)14.14% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.2% (-0.979 -0.98)41.8% (0.981 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 20.29%
    Ipswich Town 57.98%
    Draw 21.72%
SouthamptonDrawIpswich Town
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.511 -0.51)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.269 0.27)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-1 @ 1.94% (-0.465 -0.47)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.497 -0.5)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 20.29%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.348 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.606 -0.61)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.792 0.79)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.353 -0.35)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.72%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.167 0.17)
0-1 @ 9.49% (1.404 1.4)
0-2 @ 9.28% (1.229 1.23)
1-3 @ 6.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.706 0.71)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.466 -0.47)
1-4 @ 3.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.96% (0.298 0.3)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 57.98%

How you voted: Southampton vs Ipswich

Southampton
26.4%
Draw
7.5%
Ipswich Town
66.0%
53
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2015 7.55pm
Third Round
Ipswich
0-1
Southampton
Long (19')
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2015 3pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Ipswich
> Match Report
Mar 6, 2012 7.45pm
Southampton
1-1
Ipswich
Lambert (74')
Harding (87')

Murphy (68')
> Match Report
Aug 16, 2011 7.45pm
Ipswich
2-5
Southampton
Andrews (56'), Emmanuel-Thomas (61')
Delaney (35'), Chopra (81')
Lambert (4', 11'), Connolly (42'), Lallana (76', 90')
Richardson (81')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Ipswich
0-3
Southampton
Euell (30', 85')
Gillett (36'), Schneiderlin (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021
> Championship Full Table


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