Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2 - 1QPR
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Ipswich
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Southampton 3-0 Queens Park Rangers
While QPR have prevailed in some important away fixtures under Ainsworth, we feel that it will not be the case at the weekend. Southampton already have a squad capable of pushing for promotion this season and we expect them to cruise to victory at their home ground. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
44.67% ( -0.5) | 26.78% ( -0.23) | 28.55% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 49.26% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
