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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Deepdale
Millwall logo

Preston
1 - 1
Millwall

Frokjaer-Jensen (3')
Holmes (19'), Cunningham (61'), Millar (73'), Lindsay (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flemming (30')
Emakhu (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 4-2 Preston
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Millwall

With Preston's surprise downturn in form and a shock Millwall exit for Rowett, there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding this fixture. It leaves us having to predict a low-scoring draw between two evenly-matched sides on paper, a result that both teams would probably accept. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
30.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 27.39%41.95%
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)70.42%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.27% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)26.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38%62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 30.66%
    Millwall 41.94%
    Draw 27.38%
Preston North EndDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 9.8%
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 5.32%
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 30.66%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.9%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 3.75%
0-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.94%

How you voted: Preston vs Millwall

Preston North End
47.8%
Draw
26.1%
Millwall
26.1%
23
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Millwall
2-0
Preston
Bradshaw (14'), Flemming (72')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 21
Preston
2-4
Millwall
Hughes (20'), Evans (28')
Flemming (4', 16', 64'), Cresswell (72')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Preston
1-1
Millwall
Wallace (6' og.)
Wallace (22')
Kieftenbeld (31')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Millwall
0-0
Preston
Bennett (60'), Hutchinson (63'), Burey (83')
Mar 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 34
Millwall
2-1
Preston
Malone (39'), Bennett (86')
Evans (90+4')
Evans (12')
Molumby (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley27141123192253
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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