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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
65.28% ( -0.07) | 19.3% ( 0.05) | 15.42% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.97% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.09% ( -0.18) | 38.91% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.77% ( -0.18) | 61.22% ( 0.18) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.82% ( -0.07) | 11.17% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.34% ( -0.15) | 35.66% ( 0.15) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.89% ( -0.08) | 38.11% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.13% ( -0.08) | 74.87% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.23% Total : 65.27% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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