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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Lazio logo

Frosinone
2 - 3
Lazio

Lirola (13'), Cheddira (70')
Barrenechea (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zaccagni (38'), Castellanos (57', 62')
Pellegrini (34'), Lazzari (88'), Castellanos (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 Udinese
Monday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-3 Lazio

Although Frosinone have put 21 of their 24 points on the board at Stadio Stirpe, most came before Christmas. Lazio may be in turmoil, but the Biancocelesti should bounce back under new management, taking advantage of their hosts' dismal downturn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawLazio
38.84% (0.438 0.44) 25.63% (0.104 0.1) 35.53% (-0.541 -0.54)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.519 -0.52)48.6% (0.52 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (-0.476 -0.48)70.72% (0.476 0.48)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)59.13% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.559 -0.56)26.46% (0.561 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.75 -0.75)61.64% (0.75 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 38.84%
    Lazio 35.53%
    Draw 25.62%
FrosinoneDrawLazio
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.193 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.4% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.53%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Lazio

Frosinone
17.7%
Draw
13.3%
Lazio
69.0%
113
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Frosinone
Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')
Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')
Feb 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 22
Frosinone
0-1
Lazio

Ciano (66')
Caicedo (36')
Parolo (29'), Caicedo (44'), Leiva (61'), Strakosha (80'), Durmisi (90')
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
1-0
Frosinone
Alberto (49')
Parolo (20')

Brighenti (3'), Ghiglione (90')
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta00000000
2Bologna00000000
3CagliariCagliari00000000
4Como00000000
5Empoli00000000
6Fiorentina00000000
7Genoa00000000
8Hellas VeronaHellas Verona00000000
9Inter Milan00000000
10Juventus00000000
11Lazio00000000
12Lecce00000000
13AC Milan00000000
14Monza00000000
15Napoli00000000
16Parma00000000
17Roma00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20VeneziaVenezia00000000


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