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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Frosinone logo

Fiorentina
5 - 1
Frosinone

Belotti (16'), Ikone (19'), Martinez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Barak (85')
Martinez (4'), Terracciano (69'), N'Zola (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mazzitelli (66')
Romagnoli (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 3-2 Fiorentina
Friday, February 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Frosinone

With Roma and Juventus to come next for Frosinone, there seems no end in sight to their spiral down the standings - and Fiorentina can get off the mark for 2024 at their expense. Neither side has been able to keep the back door shut of late, so several goals could be shared at Stadio Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
65.42% (0.133 0.13) 19.48% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 15.1% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.5% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (0.146 0.15)40.45% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (0.152 0.15)62.82% (-0.155 -0.16)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.41% (0.078000000000003 0.08)11.58% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.44% (0.16999999999999 0.17)36.55% (-0.174 -0.17)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)39.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.81% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.18%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 65.41%
    Frosinone 15.1%
    Draw 19.48%
FiorentinaDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.64% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.77% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 65.41%
1-1 @ 9.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.48%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.1%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Fiorentina
80.6%
Draw
14.5%
Frosinone
4.8%
62
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Soule (70')
Mazzitelli (51'), Okoli (64'), Oyono (87')
Gonzalez (19')
Milenkovic (22'), Parisi (69'), Mandragora (90+1')
Apr 7, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Fiorentina
0-1
Frosinone

Dabo (90')
Ciofani (84')
Beghetto (41'), Paganini (59'), Capuano (71'), Goldaniga (90')
Nov 9, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Frosinone
1-1
Fiorentina
Pinamonti (89')
Zampano (26'), Ariaudo (48'), Maiello (68')
Benassi (47')
Mar 20, 2016 2pm
Frosinone
0-0
Fiorentina
Ajeti (25'), Gori (35'), Kragl (82'), Sammarco (88')
Alonso (31'), Roncaglia (36'), Astori (49'), Kalinic (81')
Nov 1, 2015 11.30am
Fiorentina
4-1
Frosinone
Rebic (24'), Rodriguez (29'), Babacar (31' pen.), Suarez (43')
Frara (87')
Paganini (28')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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