Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Frosinone |
65.42% ( 0.13) | 19.48% ( -0.07) | 15.1% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.55% ( 0.15) | 40.45% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.17% ( 0.15) | 62.82% ( -0.16) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.41% ( 0.08) | 11.58% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.44% ( 0.17) | 36.55% ( -0.17) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.5% ( -0) | 39.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% ( -0) | 76.18% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.41% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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