Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
We said: Frosinone 2-2 Cagliari
Both teams have several men absent and neither is particular adept at defending, so opportunities to score should be freely available. The sides shared seven goals in Sardinia when they most recently met, but free-falling Frosinone may hold on for a point this time.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.71% . A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.73%) . The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result Frosinone Draw Cagliari 39.71% ( 0) 25.96% ( -0) 34.32% ( 0)
Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.01)
49.77% ( 0.01) 50.23% ( -0.01)
27.81% ( 0.01) 72.19% ( -0.01)
75.1% ( 0.01) 24.9% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.48% ( 0.01) 59.51% ( -0.01)
72.03% ( 0.01) 27.96% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.4% ( 0.01) 63.6% ( -0.01)
Frosinone 39.71%
Cagliari 34.32%
Draw 25.96%
Frosinone Draw Cagliari 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.71% 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.32%
How you voted: Frosinone vs Cagliari
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