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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Frosinone logo

Cagliari
4 - 3
Frosinone

Oristanio (72'), Makoumbou (76'), Pavoletti (90+4', 90+6')
Prati (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Soule (23', 37'), Brescianini (49')
Romagnoli (25'), Bourabia (85'), Okoli (87'), Marchizza (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-1 Frosinone
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone

Cagliari's woes could continue into November, as the Sardinian side are set for a seventh Serie A defeat of the season; they have a sieve-like defence and can be caught out by Frosinone's bright attacking talents more than once. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFrosinone
37.18% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 27.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.17% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.153 0.15)55.3% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.126 0.13)76.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.31% (0.10300000000001 0.1)28.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.49% (0.126 0.13)64.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.072000000000003 0.07)29.65% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.087999999999994 0.09)65.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 37.17%
    Frosinone 35.59%
    Draw 27.23%
CagliariDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Frosinone

Cagliari
27.6%
Draw
20.7%
Frosinone
51.7%
29
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3.15pm
Nov 27, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
2-2
Cagliari
Rohden (32'), Insigne (67')
Luvumbo (14'), Lapadula (90+7' pen.)
Apr 20, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
1-0
Frosinone
Pedro (27' pen.)
Farago (57'), Pedro (82')
Farago (79')

Ciano (90')
Dec 2, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 14
Frosinone
1-1
Cagliari
Cassata (14')
Cassata (32')
Farias (77')
Ceppitelli (34'), Bradaric (37'), Srna (40'), Barella (54'), Pavoletti (60'), Farias (90')
Barella (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Bologna2291033527837
7Fiorentina21106535221336
8AC Milan219753223934
9Roma228683328530
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli224992129-821
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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