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Serie A | Gameweek 17
Dec 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Juventus logo

Frosinone
1 - 2
Juventus

Baez (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yildiz (12'), Vlahovic (81')
Cambiaso (20'), McKennie (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-4 Frosinone
Tuesday, December 19 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Juventus
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 0-1 Juventus

After both clubs veered from the script last time out, it will be business as usual for 1-0 specialists Juventus, who will have to withstand the threat of several young players developed in their Under-23 side. Frosinone may have borrowed some talented kids, but Juve's hard-bitten nous should secure them three more points in the Scudetto race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 45%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawJuventus
28.73% (-0.203 -0.2) 26.27% (0.293 0.29) 45% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.89% (-1.028 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (-1.273 -1.27)53.34% (1.268 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (-1.087 -1.09)74.88% (1.084 1.08)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-0.821 -0.82)33.37% (0.817 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-0.909 -0.91)69.99% (0.905 0.91)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.596 -0.6)23.62% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)57.71% (0.861 0.86)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 28.73%
    Juventus 45%
    Draw 26.27%
FrosinoneDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.237 0.24)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 28.73%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.385 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 3.95% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 45%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Juventus

Frosinone
15.8%
Draw
14.5%
Juventus
69.7%
76
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2019 7.30pm
Sep 23, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Frosinone
0-2
Juventus

Perica (29'), Molinaro (62'), Sportiello (80')
Ronaldo (81'), Bernardeschi (90')
Bentancur (28')
Feb 7, 2016 2pm
Sep 23, 2015 7.45pm
Juventus
1-1
Frosinone
Zaza (50')
Bonucci (46'), Zaza (67')
Blanchard (92')
Crivello (32'), Soddimo (36'), Rosi (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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