Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
37.01% ( 0) | 26.79% ( -0) | 36.2% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.5% | 53.5% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.98% | 75.02% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% ( 0) | 27.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.45% ( 0) | 63.55% ( -0) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.6% ( -0) | 28.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.85% ( -0) | 64.15% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |