MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 10:04:26| >> :600:215033:215033:
Napoli logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Union Berlin logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Politano (39')
Simeone (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Datro Fofana (52')
Bonucci (41'), Jaeckel (66'), Tousart (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Napoli and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Napoli 2-0 Union Berlin

To say that Union Berlin are totally devoid of attacking inspiration would be unfair, as the Iron Ones troubled the Napoli backline on several occasions two weeks ago, only to be let down by poor finishing. However, Fischer's men ought to see their powers wane even more in Naples, where a 13th defeat of the season will end their top-two chances while taking Napoli ever closer to a place in the last-16 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawUnion Berlin
59.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 20.66% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 19.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.02% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)37.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.76% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)60.24% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)12.38% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.23% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.07% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)32.92% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-0.064 -0.06)69.5% (0.065999999999988 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 59.84%
    Union Berlin 19.5%
    Draw 20.66%
NapoliDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.51% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.88%
3-0 @ 6.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.6%
4-0 @ 3.24% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 19.5%

How you voted: Napoli vs Union Berlin

Napoli
87.1%
Draw
10.1%
Union Berlin
2.8%
178
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Union Berlin
0-1
Napoli

Trimmel (10'), Gosens (51'), Haberer (53')
Raspadori (65')
Rrahmani (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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