MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 15:43:06| >> :600:235353:235353:
Champions League header

Champions League
Braga
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Napoli logo

Braga
1 - 2
Napoli

Bruma (84')
Djalo (44'), Fonte (55'), Borja (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (45+1'), Niakate (88' og.)
Zambo Anguissa (19'), Osimhen (41'), Politano (56'), Raspadori (79'), Olivera (86'), Jesus (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Braga and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Farense 3-1 Braga
Saturday, September 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Braga 1-1 Napoli

 Napoli will be the favourites on Wednesday night, but Braga are a very talented side, and this will not be a straightforward match for the Italians, who have dropped points in their last two league matches. It would not be a surprise to see an away win, but we are backing the points to be shared in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawNapoli
28.01% (0.0019999999999989 0) 25.95%46.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 51.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.004999999999999 0)74.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.09% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)56.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Braga 28.01%
    Napoli 46.04%
    Draw 25.95%
BragaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.76%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.01%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 11.27%
1-2 @ 9.13%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 46.04%

How you voted: Braga vs Napoli

Braga
19.0%
Draw
21.2%
Napoli
59.8%
179
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!