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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Jun 4, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Sampdoria logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Osimhen (64' pen.), Simeone (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Murru (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria

With history already made and several key men planning their exits, Napoli have been waning for a while now. However, they will want to sign off a superb campaign in style, so can put poor Samp to the sword again and reach 90 points for the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 90%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 2.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawSampdoria
90% (0.80200000000001 0.8) 7.41% (-0.536 -0.54) 2.59% (-0.266 -0.27)
Both teams to score 35.95% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.86% (1.227 1.23)27.14% (-1.228 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.33% (1.535 1.54)47.66% (-1.535 -1.54)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.37% (0.318 0.32)3.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.35% (1.044 1.04)15.65% (-1.044 -1.04)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.3% (-0.628 -0.63)62.7% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.03% (-0.2971 -0.3)91.97% (0.297 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 89.98%
    Sampdoria 2.59%
    Draw 7.41%
NapoliDrawSampdoria
3-0 @ 13.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.5% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-0 @ 11.46% (0.32 0.32)
5-0 @ 7.61% (0.403 0.4)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.84% (-0.264 -0.26)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.04 0.04)
6-0 @ 4.21% (0.324 0.32)
5-1 @ 3.55% (0.116 0.12)
7-0 @ 2% (0.201 0.2)
6-1 @ 1.97% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.93% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 89.98%
1-1 @ 3.52% (-0.254 -0.25)
0-0 @ 2.27% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-2 @ 1.36% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 7.41%
0-1 @ 1.06% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 2.59%

How you voted: Napoli vs Sampdoria

Napoli
84.4%
Draw
8.9%
Sampdoria
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 5pm
gameweek 17
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Osimhen (19'), Elmas (82' pen.)
Jan 9, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 21
Napoli
1-0
Sampdoria
Petagna (43')

Chabot (45+1'), Murru (90+1')
Sep 23, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 5
Sampdoria
0-4
Napoli

Damsgaard (28'), Depaoli (77')
Osimhen (10', 50'), Fabian (39'), Zielinski (59')
Manolas (87')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
gameweek 30
Sampdoria
0-2
Napoli
Fabian (35'), Osimhen (87')
Manolas (24'), Koulibaly (46'), Lozano (78')
Dec 13, 2020 2pm
gameweek 11
Napoli
2-1
Sampdoria
Lozano (53'), Petagna (68')
Di Lorenzo (84'), Insigne (90+2'), Rui (90+2')
Jankto (20')
Thorsby (38'), Ekdal (52'), Colley (82'), Ramirez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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