We said: SC Farense 0-2 Braga
Braga look capable of breaking into the top three again with the quality in their ranks, and another win here would continue to justify that claim.
The visitors will want a positive result before starting their Champions League campaign in midweek, and Farense's underwhelming form may provide a good opportunity for Braga to get just that.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.