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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Milan logo

Napoli
2 - 2
AC Milan

Politano (50'), Raspadori (63')
Natan (53'), Di Lorenzo (65'), Zanoli (86')
Natan (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (22', 31')
Reijnders (55'), Romero (62'), Musah (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 Napoli
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: PSG 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan

 Napoli have failed to beat Milan on home turf for some time now, and that run could be extended this week, as they are still not firing on all cylinders and will be missing their main marksman. Olivier Giroud's goal drought is a concern for the Rossoneri, but he tends to produce in the biggest matches, while Rafael Leao bagged a brace on his last league visit to the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
52.01% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 22.98% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 25.01% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.44% (0.33000000000001 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.02% (0.424 0.42)41.98% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62% (0.425 0.42)64.38% (-0.42699999999999 -0.43)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (0.17 0.17)16.2% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.313 0.31)45.69% (-0.315 -0.31)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.252 0.25)30.26% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.3 0.3)66.44% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 52.01%
    AC Milan 25.01%
    Draw 22.98%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.01%

How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan

Napoli
43.2%
Draw
20.5%
AC Milan
36.4%
132
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Napoli
1-1
AC Milan
Osimhen (90+3')
Giroud (43')
> Match Report
Apr 12, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
1-0
Napoli
Bennacer (40')
> Match Report
Apr 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-4
AC Milan
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
AC Milan
1-2
Napoli
Giroud (69')
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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