Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
34.7% ( -0.61) | 25.86% ( 0.03) | 39.44% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% ( -0.2) | 49.71% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.27% ( -0.18) | 71.72% ( 0.19) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.47) | 27.49% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% ( -0.61) | 62.98% ( 0.61) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% ( 0.22) | 24.8% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% ( 0.31) | 59.38% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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