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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Milan logo

Napoli
0 - 1
AC Milan


Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Next Game: Spezia vs. Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Sassuolo vs. AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-0 AC Milan

At least three goals have been scored in each of the last five Serie A matches between these teams in Naples (22 in total; more than four on average), but this could well be a more cagey affair. There was little to split the sides in the reverse fixture, so a single goal could decide the destiny of three precious points - leaving the losers playing catch-up in the title race. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
47.72%24.23%28.05%
Both teams to score 56.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46%67.53%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95%19.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37%50.63%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36%29.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32%65.68%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 47.72%
    AC Milan 28.05%
    Draw 24.23%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.44%
1-0 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 5.22%
3-0 @ 4.29%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 28.05%

How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan

Napoli
49.3%
Draw
20.3%
AC Milan
30.4%
148
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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