Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Genoa |
79.25% ( -0.02) | 13.34% ( 0.01) | 7.4% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.91% ( 0.03) | 33.09% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.17% ( 0.04) | 54.82% ( -0.04) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.42% ( -0) | 6.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.52% | 24.48% ( -0) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.56% ( 0.05) | 48.44% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.45% ( 0.04) | 83.55% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Genoa |
2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 79.24% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.34% | 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 7.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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