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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Milan logo

Napoli
0 - 4
AC Milan


Lobotka (40')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (17', 59'), Diaz (25'), Saelemaekers (67')
Giroud (35'), Krunic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 AC Milan

In Serie A, Napoli last drew 23 games ago - with 21 wins being piled up in the intervening period. Yet, the absence of their attacking focal point and the disruption of the international break may prove enough to help Milan escape with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAC Milan
64.5%20.01%15.48%
Both teams to score 52.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9%42.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5%64.5%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.67%12.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.87%38.12%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99%40%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34%76.65%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 64.5%
    AC Milan 15.48%
    Draw 20.01%
NapoliDrawAC Milan
2-0 @ 10.8%
1-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 7.54%
3-1 @ 6.91%
4-0 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-0 @ 1.65%
5-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 9.46%
0-0 @ 4.93%
2-2 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.01%
0-1 @ 4.52%
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.07%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Napoli vs AC Milan

Napoli
Draw
AC Milan
Napoli
81.7%
Draw
13.5%
AC Milan
4.8%
208
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-2
Napoli
Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18')
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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