Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
40.73% ( -0.37) | 26.64% ( -0.08) | 32.63% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.62% ( 0.45) | 53.38% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% ( 0.38) | 74.92% ( -0.38) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.01) | 25.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% ( 0.01) | 60.74% ( -0.01) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( 0.53) | 30.61% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( 0.63) | 66.85% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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