Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
40.73% ( -0.37) | 26.64% ( -0.08) | 32.63% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 51.5% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.62% ( 0.45) | 53.38% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% ( 0.38) | 74.92% ( -0.38) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.21% ( 0.01) | 25.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% ( 0.01) | 60.74% ( -0.01) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% ( 0.53) | 30.61% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% ( 0.63) | 66.85% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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