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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Atalanta logo

Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta


Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Atalanta BC

Napoli have been below their best on home soil this term, while Atalanta rank just 10th for points won on the road in Serie A and are enduring a sticky patch. Therefore, just a second draw in 18 games between these teams in Naples could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
51.3% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 24.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.47% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)70.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)34.3% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 51.29%
    Atalanta BC 24.37%
    Draw 24.32%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
69.4%
Draw
18.8%
Atalanta BC
11.8%
85
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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