Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
51.3% ( 0.07) | 24.33% ( -0.01) | 24.37% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.28% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% ( -0.03) | 48.47% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% ( -0.02) | 70.6% ( 0.02) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( 0.01) | 18.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( 0.02) | 50.38% ( -0.02) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.69% ( -0.07) | 34.3% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.99% ( -0.07) | 71% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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