Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Frosinone |
43.53% ( 0.51) | 25.61% ( 0.21) | 30.86% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -1.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3% ( -1.18) | 49.69% ( 1.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.29% ( -1.07) | 71.71% ( 1.07) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( -0.27) | 22.74% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( -0.39) | 56.42% ( 0.39) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.05% ( -1.08) | 29.95% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.94% ( -1.32) | 66.06% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.53% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |