Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
68.37% ( -0.02) | 18.6% ( 0) | 13.03% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.94% ( 0.01) | 41.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.55% ( 0.01) | 63.45% ( -0.01) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.02% ( -0) | 10.98% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.77% ( -0.01) | 35.23% ( 0.01) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.15% ( 0.02) | 42.84% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.84% ( 0.02) | 79.16% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.17% 4-0 @ 4.67% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |