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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Atalanta logo

Empoli
0 - 3
Atalanta


Maleh (33'), Cacace (35'), Gyasi (69'), Fazzini (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Scamacca (5', 51'), Koopmeiners (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-2 Empoli
Monday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sturm Graz 2-2 Atalanta
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Empoli 1-2 Atalanta BC

With just one loss in their last eight outings, Atalanta are beginning to build the consistency that has been lacking over the past couple of years, and the task of taking three points home from Tuscany is well within their grasp. An improved back line allied to more attacking options means that La Dea should have too much firepower for Empoli to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
21.12% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 24.13% (0.16 0.16) 54.74% (-0.237 -0.24)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.38699999999999 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01% (-0.565 -0.57)50.98% (0.562 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14% (-0.498 -0.5)72.85% (0.495 0.5)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.248 -0.25)38.75% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (-0.235 -0.23)75.49% (0.232 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.304 -0.3)18.52% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)49.75% (0.505 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 21.12%
    Atalanta BC 54.73%
    Draw 24.13%
EmpoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.12%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 54.73%

How you voted: Empoli vs Atalanta

Empoli
15.5%
Draw
15.5%
Atalanta BC
69.0%
129
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Atalanta
2-1
Empoli
De Roon (58'), Hojlund (86')
Ebuehi (44')
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Empoli
0-2
Atalanta
Hateboer (32'), Lookman (59')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Atalanta
0-1
Empoli

Freuler (58')
Stulac (79')
Stojanovic (45')
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Empoli
1-4
Atalanta
Di Francesco (30')
Marchizza (37'), Stulac (46'), Bandinelli (67')
Ilicic (11', 26'), Viti (49' og.), Zapata (89')
Freuler (70'), Luis Palomino (80')
Apr 15, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Atalanta
0-0
Empoli
Dell'Orco (29'), Bennacer (45'), Veseli (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Lecce2365121841-2323
14Como2257102736-922
15Empoli224992129-821
16CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
17Parma2348112942-1320
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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