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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 1-3 Inter Milan

Empoli can get off the mark with an overdue goal this weekend, though even if they end their drought Inter simply boast too much firepower for them to handle. A change of management may eventually have some effect on the Azzurri's ailing fortunes, but their Milanese counterparts will take charge of proceedings in Sunday's early kickoff and post a fifth league win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
15.84% (0.02 0.02) 21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 62.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.137 0.14)49.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.125 0.13)71.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (0.106 0.11)43.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09)79.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)43.8% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.84%
    Inter Milan 62.36%
    Draw 21.78%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
8.8%
Draw
5.9%
Inter Milan
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino226882326-326
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2257102736-922
16Empoli224992129-821
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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