Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hibernian in this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
27.45% | 26.58% | 45.97% |
Both teams to score 49.14% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.79% | 55.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.55% | 76.45% |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.63% | 35.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% | 72.13% |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.03% | 23.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.79% | 58.21% |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 8.81% 2-1 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.45% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.65% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.61% Total : 45.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |