Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 91.5%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 2.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.66%) and 2-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
91.5% ( -0.78) | 6.26% ( 0.54) | 2.23% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 37.88% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.45% ( -1.59) | 22.55% ( 1.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.35% ( -2.2) | 41.64% ( 2.2) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.25% ( -0.31) | 2.75% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.37% ( -1.15) | 12.62% ( 1.14) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
38.95% ( 0.24) | 61.04% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
8.82% ( 0.12) | 91.17% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
3-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.23) 4-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.54) 5-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.31) 6-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.43) 5-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.17) 7-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.31) 6-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.14) 8-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.19) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.42% Total : 91.49% | 1-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 6.26% | Other @ 2.23% Total : 2.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |