Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 91.67%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 2.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.13%) and 2-0 (11.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.98%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (0.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
91.67% ( -0.01) | 6.27% ( 0) | 2.06% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 34.78% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.58% ( -0) | 24.42% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
55.84% ( -0) | 44.15% |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.02% ( -0) | 2.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86.57% ( -0.01) | 13.43% ( 0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
35.84% ( 0.02) | 64.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
7.37% ( 0.01) | 92.63% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
3-0 @ 13.81% 4-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 6-0 @ 5% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 7-0 @ 2.51% ( -0) 6-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.11% 8-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 3.65% Total : 91.65% | 1-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.91% 2-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 6.27% | Other @ 2.06% Total : 2.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |