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Celtic logo
Scottish League Cup | Semi-Finals
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Maeda (18'), Giakoumakis (90+5')
Giakoumakis (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Armstrong (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-0 Kilmarnock

 In a match that could produce dramatic scenes at Hampden Park, we expect both sides to compete with intent as they search for cup glory. On this occasion, like so many in the recent past, Celtic will take control of the affair and sweep Kilmarnock aside comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 86.43%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 4.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.36%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-2 (1.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
86.43% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 9.3% (0.028 0.03) 4.28% (0.029100000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.03% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.77% (0.037999999999997 0.04)26.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)46.51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.96%4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.98% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)17.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (0.166 0.17)53.07% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.31% (0.106 0.11)86.69% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 86.41%
    Kilmarnock 4.28%
    Draw 9.3%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
3-0 @ 11.8% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 9.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 7% (0.015 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.85% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
6-0 @ 3.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.9% (0.013 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
7-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 86.41%
1-1 @ 4.36% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.22% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 9.3%
1-2 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 4.28%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Kilmarnock
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
> Match Report
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Elyounoussi (57'), Duffy (70')

Power (36'), Kabamba (43')
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Celtic
Burke (24' pen.)
Dicker (10'), Power (35')
Christie (11')
Brown (72')
rhs 2.0
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