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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 14, 2022 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
Celtic logo

Kilmarnock
0 - 5
Celtic


McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 1-3 Celtic
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-3 Celtic

Celtic usually fare well against Kilmarnock, and we think that the Scottish champions will cruise past the newly-promoted side to begin the season with three consecutive victories. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 0-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
18.52% (-0.414 -0.41) 20.68% (-0.298 -0.3) 60.8% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (0.719 0.72)39.61% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (0.742 0.74)61.96% (-0.74 -0.74)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)34.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)71.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.434 0.43)12.61% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.28% (0.89 0.89)38.72% (-0.887 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 18.52%
    Celtic 60.8%
    Draw 20.68%
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 5.05% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 18.52%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 6.86% (0.105 0.11)
0-3 @ 6.51% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.55% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.37% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.87% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.07 0.07)
0-5 @ 1.4% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 60.8%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock
5.9%
Draw
17.6%
Celtic
76.5%
34
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Celtic
Burke (24' pen.)
Dicker (10'), Power (35')
Christie (11')
Brown (72')
Feb 23, 2020 3pm
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ajer (28'), Edouard (33'), Griffiths (62')
McGregor (67')
Brophy (6' pen.)
El Makrini (21'), Power (45')
Power (57')
Jan 22, 2020 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-3
Celtic
Kabamba (66')
Dicker (60')
Edouard (25'), Griffiths (51'), Jullien (73')
Ntcham (57'), Bauer (95')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Ross County183691435-2115
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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