MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:24:49| >> :600:3980768:3980768:
St Johnstone logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Ayr United

St Johnstone
1 - 2
Ayr

Kucheriavyi (43')
Carey (84'), Steven (90+3'), Steven (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stanger (29'), Dempsey (71')
Dempsey (35'), Murdoch (67'), McAllister (70'), Murphy (73')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between St Johnstone and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Alloa 0-4 St Johnstone
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Stenhousemuir
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawAyr United
36.9% (-0.232 -0.23) 25.94% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 37.15% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 54.45% (0.164 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.1% (0.209 0.21)49.89% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11% (0.187 0.19)71.88% (-0.193 -0.19)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.28% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)61.39% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.256 0.26)26.13% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.343 0.34)61.2% (-0.348 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 36.9%
    Ayr United 37.15%
    Draw 25.93%
St JohnstoneDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.23% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.15%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
St Johnstone
1-0
Ayr
Carey (2')

Ecrepont (77')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Fifth Round
Ayr
1-2
St Johnstone
Drinan (4')
Muirhead (23'), Gillespie (58')
Muirhead (26')
Muirhead (18' og.), Hendry (27')
> Match Report
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