Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
42.26% ( 1.21) | 25.59% ( 0.29) | 32.15% ( -1.5) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( -1.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.86% ( -1.69) | 49.14% ( 1.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.79% ( -1.54) | 71.21% ( 1.54) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% ( -0.14) | 23.12% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% ( -0.21) | 56.97% ( 0.21) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.19% ( -1.77) | 28.81% ( 1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% ( -2.27) | 64.66% ( 2.27) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.43) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |