Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
59.84% ( -0.3) | 21.36% ( 0.17) | 18.8% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( -0.57) | 42.29% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.3% ( -0.58) | 64.69% ( 0.58) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.25% ( -0.27) | 13.75% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.98% ( -0.55) | 41.02% ( 0.55) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.82% ( -0.2) | 36.17% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.04% ( -0.2) | 72.96% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Cove Rangers |
2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 59.84% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |