Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 23.29% ( 0.01) | 25.44% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57% ( -0.02) | 43% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.6% ( -0.02) | 65.4% ( 0.02) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.15% ( -0.02) | 16.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.15% ( -0.03) | 46.85% ( 0.03) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( -0.01) | 30.46% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% ( -0) | 66.67% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |