Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
53.1% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( 0.02) | 23.81% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.73% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.38% ( -0.02) | 43.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.99% ( -0.02) | 66.02% ( 0.03) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.59% ( -0.02) | 16.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.93% ( -0.04) | 46.07% ( 0.05) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.87% ( 0.02) | 32.14% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.38% ( 0.02) | 68.62% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 53.11% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 23.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Livingston | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 32 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 24 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 21 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 20 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 6 |
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