Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
41.71% ( 0.03) | 23.98% | 34.3% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.04% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( -0) | 41.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.37% ( -0) | 63.62% ( 0.01) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 0.01) | 20% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% ( 0.02) | 52.18% ( -0.02) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( -0.02) | 23.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( -0.03) | 57.82% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |