Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
49.35% ( 0.55) | 24.38% ( 0.03) | 26.28% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 55% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.91% ( -0.59) | 47.09% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( -0.55) | 69.33% ( 0.55) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( -0.01) | 19.13% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% ( -0.01) | 50.77% ( 0.01) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( -0.77) | 31.98% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.56% ( -0.89) | 68.44% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.34% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |