Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 12, 2025 at 2pm UK
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
O Elvas2 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 4-4 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, January 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
We said: O Elvas 0-3 Vitoria de Guimaraes
With O Elvas having progressed through to this round without playing a top-flight side, we have to be realistic regarding their chances. Although they may be competitive for a time, the home side are likely to ultimately fail to match the class of their opponents over the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 76.09%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for O Elvas had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.52%) and 0-3 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a O Elvas win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| O Elvas | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
7.31% ( -0.04) | 16.6% ( -0.02) | 76.09% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 36% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( -0.06) | 48.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% ( -0.05) | 71.05% ( 0.06) |
| O Elvas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.16) | 59.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.61% ( -0.08) | 90.39% ( 0.08) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.88% ( 0) | 11.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0) | 35.53% |
| Score Analysis |
O Elvas 7.31%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 76.06%
Draw 16.6%
| O Elvas | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 7.31% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 16.6% | 0-2 @ 15.95% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 14.52% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 11.68% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 76.06% |
