Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
30.82% ( -0.05) | 25.73% ( 0.02) | 43.45% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% ( -0.09) | 50.21% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% ( -0.08) | 72.17% ( 0.08) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( -0.08) | 30.24% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.6% ( -0.09) | 66.4% ( 0.09) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% ( -0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% ( -0.03) | 56.81% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |