Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
45.57% ( 0.61) | 24.54% ( 0.14) | 29.89% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.51% ( -1) | 45.49% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% ( -0.96) | 67.82% ( 0.96) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% ( -0.14) | 20.06% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.71% ( -0.23) | 52.29% ( 0.23) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.5% ( -1) | 28.5% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.73% ( -1.27) | 64.27% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |