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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Plymouth Argyle

Burnley
1 - 0
Plymouth

Brownhill (26' pen.)
Egan Riley (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

 Burnley have not replicated their toothless away-day displays at Turf Moor, but Plymouth have also not been able to buy a win away from home in recent months and have failed to score in each of their last four losses on rival turf. However, the visitors are evidently growing in confidence under Rooney and have our backing to take a hard-earned point away from Lancashire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
58.15% (-0.726 -0.73) 21.61% (0.173 0.17) 20.23% (0.555 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.67% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.66% (0.014000000000003 0.01)41.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.27% (0.013000000000005 0.01)63.73% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.221 -0.22)13.95% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.57% (-0.434 -0.43)41.43% (0.434 0.43)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (0.565 0.56)34.14% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (0.602 0.6)70.83% (-0.602 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 58.15%
    Plymouth Argyle 20.23%
    Draw 21.61%
BurnleyDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 58.15%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.075 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Burnley vs Plymouth

Burnley
70.4%
Draw
16.0%
Plymouth Argyle
13.6%
125
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
Round Two
Burnley
1-1
Plymouth
Austin
Williams
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Burnley
Judge (17')
Caldwell (16'), Blake (78')
Williams (71')
Aug 30, 2008 3pm
Burnley
0-0
Plymouth
Eagles (57')
Eagles (83')
Gallagher (59')
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
3-1
Burnley
Halmosi (35', 76'), Nalis (12')
Sawyer (45'), Anderson (45'), MacLean (55')
O'Connor (19')
Harley (15'), Elliott (78')
Jan 12, 2008 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Plymouth
Blake (66')
Varga (45')

Connolly (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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