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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Fratton Park
Oxford United

Portsmouth
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

O'Mahony (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sibley (72')
Kioso (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United

Portsmouth will be desperate to claim their first win of the season before the international break, but we think that the hosts will have to settle for a draw against an Oxford side who have seen their last two matches finish all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
40.72% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 24.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 34.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 58.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.82% (-0.061 -0.06)45.17% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.48% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.85% (0.02000000000001 0.02)22.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)55.53% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)25.47% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (-0.125 -0.13)60.31% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 40.72%
    Oxford United 34.45%
    Draw 24.83%
PortsmouthDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.45%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Oxford Utd

Portsmouth
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Oxford United
37.5%
32
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 36
Portsmouth
2-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')
Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
2-2
Portsmouth
Goodrham (45'), Henry (90')
Buckingham (59')
Bishop (69'), Lang (80')
Bishop (58'), Peart-Harris (81')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Oxford Utd
1-1
Portsmouth
Long (37')
Pack (26')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Portsmouth
3-2
Oxford Utd
Raggett (42'), Hirst (45+2'), Carter (58')
Carter (74')
Browne (3'), McNally (81')
Long (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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