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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Oxford United

Blackburn
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Rankin-Costello (45+2'), Sigurdsson (83')
Tronstad (37'), Travis (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (44')
Kioso (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Blackburn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-2 Oxford Utd
Friday, August 16 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Oxford United

With Blackburn still adapting to life with Szmodics, Oxford may sense an opportunity to strike. However, we are still backing the free-scoring home side to come through with an hard-earned three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
42.38% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 25.7% (0.135 0.14) 31.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.617 -0.62)49.69% (0.616 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.555 -0.56)71.7% (0.554 0.55)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)23.3% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.76% (-0.407 -0.41)57.24% (0.406 0.41)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.383 -0.38)29.23% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.473 -0.47)65.19% (0.47200000000001 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 42.38%
    Oxford United 31.92%
    Draw 25.7%
Blackburn RoversDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.167 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.92%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Oxford Utd

Blackburn Rovers
69.4%
Draw
19.4%
Oxford United
11.3%
62
Head to Head
May 5, 2018 5.30pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Blackburn
Payne (45'), Obika (85')
Mulgrew (6', 22'), Antonsson (17'), Nuttall (71')
Mulgrew (74'), Downing (82')
Jan 30, 2016 3pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
0-3
Blackburn

Mullins (5'), Baldock (64'), Kenny (92')
Marshall (36' pen., 76'), Watt (45')
Spurr (39'), Jackson (50'), Lenihan (54'), Conway (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Broncos
@
Saints
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland96121881019
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd9630123919
3Burnley95311441018
4West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom9522126617
5Leeds UnitedLeeds9441157816
6Watford95131414016
7Norwich CityNorwich94321610615
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn94321511415
9Middlesbrough9423107314
10Oxford UnitedOxford Utd93331311212
11Swansea CitySwansea933386212
12Derby CountyDerby94051212012
13Hull City93331213-112
14Plymouth ArgylePlymouth93241013-311
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds93241115-411
16Bristol City92521014-411
17Stoke CityStoke93151012-210
18Millwall9234121119
19Preston North EndPreston9234712-59
20Coventry CityCoventry92251013-38
21Luton TownLuton9225815-78
22Queens Park RangersQPR9144916-77
23Portsmouth9054920-115
24Cardiff CityCardiff9126418-145


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