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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 4
Bristol Rovers

Sercombe (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers have won their last two league games and this puts them in a good position to pick up a positive result in this fixture. However, with Cheltenham being on good form at home and their most recent defeat being to a difficult Sheffield Wednesday side, we expect them to put on a good performance and therefore a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)49.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.6% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.012 -0.01)65.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 43.29%
    Bristol Rovers 31.21%
    Draw 25.49%
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham Town
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
Nov 26, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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